S&P 500 Daily Perspective for Mon 27 Jan 2025

GDR Model Performance

Please see the Performance page for more detailed performance numbers, how they’re calculated, and a chart.

For the fine print (a.k.a. the lawyer-approved stuff), don’t miss the Disclaimers section—it’s where all the “officially important” bits live!

GDR Model Outlook

The GDR Model is bullish. The recent indecision in the markets seems to be pretty much gone.

Fundamentals Outlook (as of 17 Jun 2024): for the first time in a while the model is showing stocks as being richly valued (i.e. overpriced). Note that this is just a barometer to help guide longer-term decision-making rather than short-term market timing.

Long-Term Outlook (as of 24 Jan 2025): the long-term outlook is upgraded to bullish. This is the final confirmation that the recent market uncertainty seems to be gone, at least for now…

Short-Term Outlook (as of 24 Jan 2025): the market has consistently shown strength for several days on the short-timeframe.

Breadth Outlook (as of 24 Jan 2025): breadth is back to bullish. As previously mentioned, the brief downgrade to neutral was likely to be temporary.

Volatility Outlook (as of 24 Jan 2025): the volatility outlook has been downgraded back to stable. At this point this isn’t a meaningful change and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it return to calm soon.

GDR Model Position

The GDR Model is 3x long as the market has shown strength for a while now.