S&P 500 Daily Perspective for Wed 25 Mar 2026
GDR Model Performance
Please see the Performance page for more detailed performance numbers, how they’re calculated, and a chart.
For the fine print (a.k.a. the lawyer-approved stuff), don’t miss the Disclaimers section—it’s where all the “officially important” bits live!
GDR Model Outlook
Overall Outlook (as of 24 Mar 2026): BEARISH. Market conditions have continued to worsen and the market is well on its way to a significant sell-off.
Fundamentals Outlook (as of 24 Mar 2026): Fair Value. Valuations improved slightly, which should see the model tilt a bit more towards the long side over time.
Long-Term Outlook (as of 20 Mar 2026): Bearish. The market showed weakness at the end of the week again. The long-term outlook is downgraded to bearish.
Short-Term Outlook (as of 24 Mar 2026): Bearish. The short-term outlook closed weak again. Each piece of positive news brought some real buying into the market, but never enough to seriously challenge the prevailing weakness. Something to watch…
Breadth Outlook (as of 24 Mar 2026): Bearish. Breadth is back down to bearish again and confirming the model’s overall bearish stance.
Volatility Outlook (as of 24 Mar 2026): Volatile. Volatility is at volatile, which is the worst reading. Continue expecting wide ranges whether that comes in the form of bigger sell-offs or nasty short-covering rallies.
GDR Model Position
The GDR model’s read of the current market has continued to deteriorate. As such, the model is carrying a short position. Let’s see if we finally get followthrough for once…
