S&P 500 Daily Perspective for Mon 30 Mar 2026

GDR Model Performance

Please see the Performance page for more detailed performance numbers, how they’re calculated, and a chart.

For the fine print (a.k.a. the lawyer-approved stuff), don’t miss the Disclaimers section—it’s where all the “officially important” bits live!

GDR Model Outlook

Overall Outlook (as of 27 Mar 2026): BEARISH. Market conditions are at the most bearish state and the market into a meaningful sell-off.

Fundamentals Outlook (as of 26 Mar 2026): Fair Value. Today’s sell-off made fundamentals slightly more favorable so the model will tilt slightly more long when opportune.

Long-Term Outlook (as of 27 Mar 2026): Bearish. The market showed weakness at the end of the week again. The long-term outlook remains bearish.

Short-Term Outlook (as of 27 Mar 2026): Bearish. The market opened weak, and weakened further into the close. Currently well into bearish territory.

Breadth Outlook (as of 27 Mar 2026): Bearish. Breadth is bearish and confirming the model’s overall bearish stance.

Volatility Outlook (as of 27 Mar 2026): Volatile. Volatility is at volatile, which is the worst reading. Continue expecting wide ranges whether that comes in the form of bigger sell-offs or nasty short-covering rallies.

GDR Model Position

The GDR model’s read of the current market has continued to deteriorate and remains bearish. However, the model is opting to close its short position now as a risk reduction measure.