GDR Model Review: February 2025

Choppy markets with underlying bearishness

The GDR Model returned -0.56% vs the S&P 500’s Total Return of -1.30%, beating the index by 74 basis points in February.

• The GDR Model is up 2.71% so far in 2025 compared with the S&P 500’s Total Return of 1.44%. The model is ahead by 127 basis points.

• The model started out the month staying mostly flat from the close of 31 January all the way to the close of 25 February. This worked out well due to the choppy market conditions throughout most of the month.

• Arguably the model initiated this short position somewhat late, but conditions remain bearish so it might still end up netting a decent profit overall.

• Overall the GDR Model continues to work as intended: it stayed out of the market when it was choppy and it didn’t try to catch exact bottoms or tops. Instead it worked to try and catch the meat of potential multi-day trends, no matter how long or short-lived they may be.